Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.185160 0.208611 0.233316 0.261225 0.291822 0.324287 0.361282
2025-05-18 0.157979 0.190333 0.226254 0.268898 0.317936 0.372354 0.437094
2025-05-25 0.133403 0.170601 0.213849 0.267431 0.331585 0.405474 0.496517
2025-06-01 0.115086 0.155378 0.204209 0.267032 0.344937 0.437559 0.555115
2025-06-08 0.100335 0.142470 0.195523 0.266152 0.356523 0.467015 0.610909
2025-06-15 0.091024 0.135246 0.192856 0.271890 0.375797 0.505921 0.679121
2025-06-22 0.081179 0.126098 0.186582 0.271981 0.387179 0.534717 0.735111
2025-06-29 0.072744 0.117912 0.180675 0.271720 0.397496 0.561939 0.789454
2025-07-06 0.065493 0.110612 0.175219 0.271363 0.407179 0.588174 0.842871
2025-07-13 0.060214 0.105659 0.172565 0.274479 0.421377 0.620523 0.905023
2025-07-20 0.056660 0.102965 0.172879 0.281635 0.441238 0.660914 0.978936
2025-07-27 0.052196 0.098361 0.169902 0.283597 0.453512 0.690971 1.039322
2025-08-03 0.048776 0.095281 0.169213 0.289182 0.471648 0.730394 1.114797
2025-08-10 0.046169 0.093308 0.170069 0.297066 0.493378 0.775508 1.199504
2025-08-17 0.041824 0.087874 0.164932 0.295227 0.500305 0.799432 1.254703
2025-08-24 0.038177 0.083303 0.160824 0.294660 0.508948 0.825896 1.314048
2025-08-31 0.034822 0.078910 0.156648 0.293633 0.516653 0.851001 1.371873
2025-09-07 0.032975 0.077189 0.156901 0.299813 0.535760 0.893493 1.456104
2025-09-14 0.030342 0.073647 0.153669 0.299890 0.545016 0.921236 1.519019
2025-09-21 0.027900 0.070224 0.150373 0.299594 0.553519 0.947904 1.580800
2025-09-28 0.025668 0.066989 0.147163 0.299201 0.561717 0.974173 1.642438
2025-10-05 0.024105 0.065016 0.146154 0.302574 0.576178 1.010460 1.720052
2025-10-12 0.023180 0.064352 0.147577 0.310323 0.598177 1.059081 1.817603